Thought Leadership on AI, Leadership Development, and Strategic Intelligence
By Richard LeBlanc, Chief Strategy Officer
What if the greatest CEO transitions in history weren't accidents of intuition, but products of scientific precision we've never bothered to decode?
Picture this: It's Monday morning at JPMorgan Chase, and America's financial titans are gathered for their annual investor day. Beneath the polished presentations and strategic updates, a far more primal drama unfolds — the psychological theatre of succession, where careers built over decades hang in the balance of a few pivotal moments.
As Jamie Dimon prepares to step down from commanding the nation's largest bank, three contenders emerge from the shadows: Marianne Lake, the English-born accountant turned consumer banking empress; Doug Petno, the hard-nosed commercial banker navigating treacherous political waters; and Troy Rohrbaugh, the markets visionary whose technological foresight may define banking's future. Each carries a distinct psychological blueprint. Each represents a different vision of power.
But here's the question that should terrify every board of directors: What if none of them should even be in contention?
The numbers are staggering and troubling: According to SHRM's latest research, nearly 20% of CEO successions are "forced" rather than planned. Spencer Stuart found that 45% of boards report having an adequate emergency succession plan in place, but only 26% have a formal succession plan with options across timelines. When transitions fail — and research for two decades suggests 40-60% do — the average cost can reach $1.8 billion in shareholder value destruction. Per company. Per failure.
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